Opta: Fear? That's the other guy's problem + Nate Silver Day 2

Opta has some fairly strong opinions on the World Cup and they are either going to get rich or die trying. Much respect! ($10,000 bankroll with unlimited credit). However, we'll get to those in a second. Nate Silver is back for day two of the World Cup:

Team

Wager

Risked

To Win

Result

Saudi Arabia

-0.5

7694

63555

-7694

Uruguay-Egypt

Draw

18369

53452

0

Egypt

-0.5

30141

195315

0

Morocco-Iran

Draw

2682

5526

0

Iran

-0.5

8821

25317

0

Portugal

-0.5

9631

31011

0

Saudi Arabia was a bit of a let-down (5-0!), but things get more exciting today. Egypt could deliver a great day with a win, but a draw there would be just fine. Portugal upsetting Spain in the first elite matchup of the tournament would be nice too. Now, back to Opta, who have some thoughts:

Team

Advance Y/N

Risked

To Win

Result

Uruguay

Eliminated

2699

11472

0

Egypt

Advance

1549

2168

0

Russia

Eliminated

2480

4489

0

Saudi Arabia

Advance

3685

31325

0

Spain

Eliminated

1654

12932

0

Portugal

Eliminated

2600

7800

0

Iran

Advance

3140

18840

0

Morocco

Advance

509

1486

0

France

Eliminated

1567

14100

0

Denmark

Eliminated

2653

3050

0

Peru

Advance

382

565

0

Australia

Advance

2757

10889

0

Argentina

Eliminated

836

3972

0

Croatia

Eliminated

2969

5344

0

Iceland

Advance

1992

6593

0

Nigeria

Advance

1684

4210

0

Brazil

Eliminated

1327

15290

0

Switzerland

Eliminated

1616

1511

0

Serbia

Pass

0

0

0

Costa Rica

Advance

2107

8533

0

Germany

Eliminated

1556

13835

0

Mexico

Eliminated

980

933

0

Sweden

Advance

252

340

0

Korea Republic

Advance

2158

9494

0

Belgium

Eliminated

2532

18762

0

England

Eliminated

3473

16461

0

Tunisia

Advance

2768

12042

0

Panama

Advance

3272

31250

0

Colombia

Eliminated

1893

3995

0

Poland

Eliminated

1120

1568

0

Senegal

Advance

58

65

0

Japan

Advance

2384

5960

0

Their point of view is that every team has a chance, which means the longshots may yet be crowned king:

Team

Champ Y/N

Risked

To Win

Result

Uruguay

Pass

0

0

0

Egypt

Champ

111

28028

0

Russia

Champ

12

689

0

Saudi Arabia

Champ

116

84441

0

Spain

Not Champ

2302

301

0

Portugal

Pass

0

0

0

Iran

Champ

117

49640

0

Morocco

Champ

35

14208

0

France

Not Champ

496

58

0

Denmark

Champ

51

6444

0

Peru

Champ

72

8989

0

Australia

Champ

136

54466

0

Argentina

Champ

99

979

0

Croatia

Pass

0

0

0

Iceland

Champ

97

29454

0

Nigeria

Champ

111

28028

0

Brazil

Not Champ

2740

609

0

Switzerland

Champ

76

10025

0

Serbia

Champ

115

17309

0

Costa Rica

Champ

85

34382

0

Germany

Not Champ

2296

370

0

Mexico

Champ

106

14029

0

Sweden

Champ

151

37918

0

Korea Republic

Champ

94

58910

0

Belgium

Not Champ

2620

150

0

England

Not Champ

3259

105

0

Tunisia

Champ

76

55385

0

Panama

Champ

66

48115

0

Colombia

Champ

59

2870

0

Poland

Champ

58

4650

0

Senegal

Champ

102

20900

0

Japan

Champ

201

105825

0

Best of luck to OptaJoe and the rest of the crew over there.