Nate Silver Day 12: Tread Carefully

We've reached the point of the tournament where teams want to advance, but perhaps not win the group. We're going to see some odd incentives in the Belgium-England game, and perhaps in some of the other games as well. Strange incentives abound. Nate's current bankroll is $1,041,850

Bankroll %

Team

Wager

Risked

To Win

Result

3.43%

Saudi Arabia

0.5

35706

36777

0

4.34%

Russia

-0.5

45212

95850

0

2.84%

Spain-Morocco

Draw

29540

120229

0

2.06%

Morocco

-0.5

21506

214204

0

1.53%

Portugal-Iran

Draw

15934

43341

0