Nate Silver Day 10: Someone's been hitting the gym

As a few people have posted on Twitter, the resemblance is striking:

Switzerland got the win, and Nate's bankroll is back to a healthy $1,423,988.

The market is surprisingly down on Belgium vs. Tunisia. I've looked ahead to the Belgium-England match and it's possible both teams will want to lose it, but this is a bit early for group advancement politics.

Nate has some faith in South Korea vs. Mexico, but the big hope is that Sweden can pull off win vs. Germany. If Germany are not improved from their match vs. Mexico, we could see a shocking early exit for one of the pre-tournament favorites.

Bankroll %

Team

Wager

Risked

To Win

Result

14.08%

Belgium

-0.5

200498

77114

0

2.86%

South Korea

-0.5

40791

204770

0

5.03%

Sweden

-0.5

71560

452259

0

1.71%

Germany-Sweden

Draw

24387

83161

0